Thursday, May 31, 2012
Speculation about Greece's Books Mount
Suspicions that statistics from Greece were overlooked by the
European Union officials while negotiating Greece's entry for the
single currency in 2002, according to a report published by the
Federation of European Employers (FedEE).
The report by the think tank servicing multinational companies
operating in Europe questions who is to blame for taxpayer around
the world having to pay $300 billion for the blunder. The FedEE
reviewed the report published in November 2004 by the European
statistics library in Luxembourg. The report charts the frustrated
efforts of the EU statisticians over an eight-year period to persuade
the Greek government to provide honest and accurate statistics.
Inconsistencies in the interpretation of capital transfers as a
counterpart to various items of debt assumptions were pointed
out in a letter by the director general of Eurostat to the National
Statistical Service of Greece. The letter went on to say, "Eurostat
could not agree with the exclusion of the counterpart transaction
from the net borrowing requirement of the general government sector."
The report alleges that from that time, the Greek Statisical Service
would apparently conform to EU requests but later falsify the figures.
In 1997, the EU instructed that "these corrections" should be done
immediately and "in spite of this conclusion, Greece did not revise its
figures and did not transmite a revised notification".
The pattern of number fudgin repeated itself with disastrous results
in 2009. In October that year, just after Greece's new finance minister,
George Papakonstantinou took office he announced the the government debt
was THREE times higher than his predecessors had let on - 12.8% instead
of 3.6%. Six month later, further calculations put the debt at a
staggering 13.6%!!!
These figures set off the international alarm bells about Greece's fiscal
situation.
Even the new Greek prime minister, George Papandreou referred to the
National Statistical Service of Greece as a "joke". The stats agency was
subquently made independent of the government as a condition of the bailout
package in 2010.
The secretary general of the FedEE, Robin Chater, wanted to know why no
one has been held responsible for allowing Greece to join the eurozone in
the first place. More to follow on this as the EU story unfolds.